{"id":46962,"date":"2025-08-26T12:02:58","date_gmt":"2025-08-26T10:02:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/otpor.media\/?p=46962"},"modified":"2025-08-26T12:03:06","modified_gmt":"2025-08-26T10:03:06","slug":"od-americkog-covjeka-do-ruskog-igraca-put-milorada-dodika-do-politickog-ruba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/otpor.media\/?p=46962","title":{"rendered":"Od ameri\u010dkog \u010dovjeka do ruskog igra\u010da \u2013 put Milorada Dodika do politi\u010dkog ruba"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Je li ovaj put zaista do\u0161ao kraj politi\u010dke karijere Milorada Dodika, lidera Srba u Bosni i Hercegovini? Iako je uklonjen s du\u017enosti odlukom Sredi\u0161njeg izbornog povjerenstva (SIP), Dodik to ne priznaje i nastavlja prkositi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

SIP je Dodiku oduzeo mandat predsjednika Republike Srpske 18. kolovoza 2025., nakon \u0161to je Sud BiH potvrdio presudu kojom je osu\u0111en na godinu dana zatvora i zabranu bavljenja politikom na \u0161est godina zbog nepo\u0161tivanja odluka visokog predstavnika Christiana Schmidta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Najavljeno raspisivanje prijevremenih izbora<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dodik je, u skladu s mogu\u0107nosti koja postoji u BiH pravosu\u0111u, otkupio kaznu zatvora za 36.500 KM, \u010dime je formalno priznao presudu. No i dalje ne priznaje odluku da nije predsjednik i najavio je niz referenduma na kojima \u0107e “narod re\u0107i” tko je njihov predsjednik.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S druge strane, iz SIP-a su najavili kako \u0107e prema \u010dlanku 14.3. Izbornog zakona BiH raspisati prijevremene izbore za novog predsjednika entiteta Republike Srpske. Dodik, koji odbija napustiti ured u Banjoj Luci, zaprijetio je da ne\u0107e dopustiti provedbu izbora na kojima bi se birao njegov nasljednik i poziva sve stranke da na njima ne sudjeluju.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Politi\u010dki analiti\u010dar Slobodan \u0160oja vjeruje da u stvarnom \u017eivotu ovog entiteta ne\u0107e do\u0107i do ve\u0107ih promjena. “Ne sumnjam ni sekunde da \u0107e Dodik, bio on predsjednik RS-a ili ne, bez problema dr\u017eati i dalje sve politi\u010dke konce u svojim rukama”, kazao je.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tijekom rata se suprotstavljao politici Karad\u017ei\u0107eve stranke<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prilagodljivost je osobina koju Dodiku priznaju i pobornici i protivnici. Politi\u010dku karijeru je po\u010deo pred prve vi\u0161estrana\u010dke izbore u BiH 1990. kao \u010dlan Saveza reformskih snaga Ante Markovi\u0107a i izabran je u Parlament BiH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tijekom rata djelovao je kao nezavisni zastupnik u Narodnoj skup\u0161tini Republike Srpske, suprotstavljaju\u0107i se politici vladaju\u0107e Srpske demokratske stranke (SDS) Radovana Karad\u017ei\u0107a. Godine 1996. osnovao je Stranku nezavisnih socijaldemokrata, kasnije Savez nezavisnih socijaldemokrata (SNSD), kao alternativu nacionalisti\u010dkim strankama.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Premijer RS-a postao je dvije godine poslije. Iako njegova stranka nije imala ve\u0107inu, uz sna\u017enu podr\u0161ku me\u0111unarodne zajednice, posebno Sjedinjenih Ameri\u010dkih Dr\u017eava, do\u0161ao je na vlast promi\u010du\u0107i reforme i suradnju s institucijama BiH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

U tom razdoblju davao je podr\u0161ku hvatanju optu\u017eenika za ratne zlo\u010dine, uklju\u010duju\u0107i Ratka Mladi\u0107a i Radovana Karad\u017ei\u0107a, \u0161to je bilo u skladu s politikom me\u0111unarodne zajednice i Dejtonskog sporazuma, uz citat koji mu se danas vra\u0107a kao bumerang – “ne mo\u017ee cijeli narod biti talac sudskog procesa nekog pojedinca.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nakon gubitka vlasti 2001., Dodik sve vi\u0161e postaje nacionalist, u javnim nastupima ali i formalno, suprotstavljaju\u0107i se centralizaciji vlasti u BiH. Godine 2006. ponovno je postao premijer RS-a, zapo\u010dev\u0161i razdoblje vladanja koje je trajalo do zadnje odluke suda BiH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Ja znam savr\u0161eno dobro \u0161to je bilo u Srebrenici. Bio je genocid i to je presudio sud u Den Haagu i to je nesporna pravna \u010dinjenica”, rekao je Dodik 2007. Danas najavljuje kazne za sve one koji bi istu re\u010denicu ponovili.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Za Vu\u010di\u0107a govorio da je pokvareni kriminalac<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vezano je to bilo, kao i tijekom cijele Dodikove karijere, uz vlast u Srbiji. U vrijeme predsjedni\u0161tva Borisa Tadi\u0107a Dodik je posje\u0107ivao njegove predizborne skupove, davao mu podr\u0161ku, a Srpsku naprednu stranku Aleksandra Vu\u010di\u0107a nazvao je politi\u010dkim poba\u010dajem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vu\u010di\u0107 je za njega govorio da je pokvareni kriminalac. Danas su najbli\u017ei politi\u010dki suradnici.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Od 2006. godine Dodik je bio premijer pa dvaput predsjednik Republike Srpske pa srpski \u010dlan predsjedni\u0161tva BiH i od 2022. opet predsjednik RS-a. U tom mandatu je nastavio s politikom sukoba s Bo\u0161njacima u BiH i me\u0111unarodnom zajednicom zagovaraju\u0107i ve\u0107u autonomiju ili \u010dak odcjepljenje.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nekoliko puta je najavljivao referendum o odcjepljenju ili samostalnosti, ali nikada ga nije proveo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Dodik koristi retori\u010dki potencijal referenduma kao sredstvo politi\u010dkog pritiska, ali i on je svjestan da je provedba referenduma o odcjepljenju izuzetno slo\u017eena i riskantna. To je vi\u0161e politi\u010dki teatar nego stvarni plan, jer bi takav potez doveo do ozbiljnih posljedica”, izjavio je politi\u010dki analiti\u010dar Adnan Huski\u0107 bosanskohercegova\u010dkim medijima.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tako se gleda i na najavljene referendume o tome ho\u0107e li, iako smijenjen, Dodik ostati predsjednik.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ne zna se kad \u0107e biti referendum<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Srpski analiti\u010dar Aleksandar Popov u izjavi za NIN ka\u017ee kako ne zna ho\u0107e li Dodik zaista poku\u0161ati provesti referendum, ali rezultati sigurno ne\u0107e biti provedeni.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Dodikovi planovi za referendum su ustavom nedopu\u0161teni. Ako organizira referendum u Republici Srpskoj da mimo suda ostane predsjednik, to \u0107e biti kr\u0161enje svih unutarnjih normi Bosne i Hercegovine. Pitanje je ho\u0107e li ustrajati u toj tvrdoglavosti”, napomenuo je.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Referendum je bio najavljen odmah nakon presude 1. kolovoza ove godine pa je prvo pomaknut za kraj mjeseca, a sada i za kraj rujna, mo\u017eda i listopad. Dodik vi\u0161e nema nikakvih prava ni ovlasti pa nijedan zakon kojega donese parlament RS ne mo\u017ee stupiti na snagu dok se ne imenuje vr\u0161itelj du\u017enosti predsjednika entiteta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Potpi\u0161e li Dodik bilo kakvu odluku po\u010dinit \u0107e novo kazneno djelo, a takvi papiri ne\u0107e imati nikakvu zakonsku valjanost. No dok se \u010deka na referendume ni\u017eu se spekulacije o njegovoj politi\u010dkoj budu\u0107nosti, od toga da \u0107e ga naslijediti sin do toga da bi mogao na neku du\u017enost u Srbiji.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dodik ponavlja da se ne\u0107e povu\u0107i<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Milorad Dodik pro\u0161ao je u politi\u010dkoj karijeri razne preobrazbe, od opozicije nacionalistima do glavnog nacionalista u svom entitetu, od ameri\u010dkog igra\u010da na po\u010detku karijere do ruskog \u010dovjeka na kraju karijere (uz stalno slavljenje ameri\u010dkog predsjednika Donalda Trumpa), od \u010dovjeka koji se poziva na sudske presude do \u010dovjeka koji ne priznaje sud dr\u017eave u kojoj \u017eivi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Posljednjih dana uporno ponavlja da se ne\u0107e povu\u0107i i nastavit \u0107e borbu i dodaje da se izvanredni izbori za njegovog nasljednika na mjestu predsjednika ne\u0107e odr\u017eati i kako su i on i narod spremni platiti kakvu god cijenu za svoje postupke. “Niti jedna \u0161kola, dom kulture, ne\u0107e se mo\u0107i koristiti za odr\u017eavanje izbora”, kazao je Dodik.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dok \u0107e se politi\u010dka kriza i tenzije nastaviti, analiti\u010dari ve\u0107inom procjenjuju kako ve\u0107i sukobi, pogotovo oru\u017eani, u BiH nisu izgledni iz nekoliko razloga. Republika Srpska nema vlastitu vojsku, Oru\u017eane snage BiH su integrirane, iako Dodik poku\u0161ava blokirati njihovo funkcioniranje.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ameri\u010dki profesor: Dodik nema dovoljnu podr\u0161ku za stvarno odcjepljenje<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

U BiH se nalazi misija EUFOR Althea, poja\u010dana nakon ruske invazije na Ukrajinu. Ne manje va\u017eno, tu je ekonomska i demografska realnost, BiH je suo\u010dena s masovnim iseljavanjem, posebno mladih i nema dru\u0161tvene snage ni volje za rat poput 1990-ih.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No politi\u010dki sukobi, institucionalne blokade i manji incidenti (npr. prosvjedi, nasilje na lokalnoj razini) ostaju vrlo mogu\u0107i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Daniel Serwer, ameri\u010dki profesor sa sveu\u010dili\u0161ta Johns Hopkins i stru\u010dnjak za Balkan, u analizi za Peacefare.net pi\u0161e: “Dodikova secesionisti\u010dka retorika i potezi poput prijetnji referendumom pove\u0107avaju napetosti, posebice u etni\u010dki mje\u0161ovitim podru\u010djima.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Me\u0111utim, Dodik zna da nema dovoljnu podr\u0161ku za stvarno odcjepljenje \u2013 ni unutar RS-a, gdje bi ekonomska izolacija bila katastrofalna, ni u Srbiji, koja ne \u017eeli ugroziti svoje odnose s EU-om”, dodaje Serwer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hina<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Je li ovaj put zaista do\u0161ao kraj politi\u010dke karijere Milorada Dodika, lidera Srba u Bosni i Hercegovini? Iako je uklonjen s du\u017enosti odlukom Sredi\u0161njeg izbornog povjerenstva (SIP), Dodik to ne priznaje i nastavlja prkositi. SIP je Dodiku oduzeo mandat predsjednika Republike Srpske 18. kolovoza 2025., nakon \u0161to je Sud BiH potvrdio presudu kojom je osu\u0111en […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":301,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":36,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46962","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-vijesti"],"yoast_head":"\nOd ameri\u010dkog \u010dovjeka do ruskog igra\u010da \u2013 put Milorada Dodika do politi\u010dkog ruba - OTPOR.Media<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/otpor.media\/?p=46962\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"hr_HR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Od ameri\u010dkog \u010dovjeka do ruskog igra\u010da \u2013 put Milorada Dodika do politi\u010dkog ruba\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Je li ovaj put zaista do\u0161ao kraj politi\u010dke karijere Milorada Dodika, lidera Srba u Bosni i Hercegovini? Iako je uklonjen s du\u017enosti odlukom Sredi\u0161njeg izbornog povjerenstva (SIP), Dodik to ne priznaje i nastavlja prkositi. 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Iako je uklonjen s du\u017enosti odlukom Sredi\u0161njeg izbornog povjerenstva (SIP), Dodik to ne priznaje i nastavlja prkositi. SIP je Dodiku oduzeo mandat predsjednika Republike Srpske 18. kolovoza 2025., nakon \u0161to je Sud BiH potvrdio presudu kojom je osu\u0111en […]","og_url":"https:\/\/otpor.media\/?p=46962","og_site_name":"OTPOR.Media","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/otpor.media","article_published_time":"2025-08-26T10:02:58+00:00","article_modified_time":"2025-08-26T10:03:06+00:00","og_image":[{"width":872,"height":605,"url":"https:\/\/otpor.media\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/milorad-dodik-igor-dodik.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"otpormedia","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Napisao\/la":"otpormedia","Procijenjeno vrijeme \u010ditanja":"7 minuta"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/otpor.media\/?p=46962#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/otpor.media\/?p=46962"},"author":{"name":"otpormedia","@id":"https:\/\/otpor.media\/#\/schema\/person\/a274232a44e6bceb3b5681f0fe2474ab"},"headline":"Od ameri\u010dkog \u010dovjeka do ruskog igra\u010da \u2013 put Milorada Dodika do politi\u010dkog ruba","datePublished":"2025-08-26T10:02:58+00:00","dateModified":"2025-08-26T10:03:06+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/otpor.media\/?p=46962"},"wordCount":1251,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/otpor.media\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/otpor.media\/?p=46962#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/otpor.media\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/milorad-dodik-igor-dodik.jpg","articleSection":["VIJESTI"],"inLanguage":"hr","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/otpor.media\/?p=46962#respond"]}],"copyrightYear":"2025","copyrightHolder":{"@id":"https:\/\/otpor.media\/#organization"}},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/otpor.media\/?p=46962","url":"https:\/\/otpor.media\/?p=46962","name":"Od ameri\u010dkog \u010dovjeka do ruskog igra\u010da \u2013 put Milorada Dodika do politi\u010dkog ruba - 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