{"id":53642,"date":"2026-10-06T12:30:16","date_gmt":"2026-10-06T10:30:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/otpor.media\/?p=53642"},"modified":"2026-10-06T12:30:26","modified_gmt":"2026-10-06T10:30:26","slug":"povratak-u-proslost-bih-se-nakon-izbora-vraca-starom-politickom-trokutu-snsd-sda-hdz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/otpor.media\/?p=53642","title":{"rendered":"POVRATAK U PRO\u0160LOST: BiH se nakon izbora vra\u0107a starom politi\u010dkom trokutu SNSD \u2013 SDA \u2013 HDZ!"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nedjeljni izbori vratili su BiH u stari politi\u010dki trokut. Tvorni\u010dka pode\u0161avanja u vrhu vlasti ponovno stavljaju SNSD, SDA i HDZ BiH, ali je pitanje na koji na\u010din \u0107e se prevazi\u0107i razlike, analizira Deutsche Welle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rezultati Op\u0107ih izbora vratili su Bosnu i Hercegovinu u ve\u0107 vi\u0111eni politi\u010dki obrazac. SNSD, SDA i HDZ ponovno su najja\u010di akteri na svim nivoima vlasti, sa iznena\u0111enjem Stranke za BiH koja je ostvarila veliki rast. U Zastupni\u010dkom domu Parlamentarne skup\u0161tine BiH dominirat \u0107e tri nacionalne stranke koje su osvojile najvi\u0161e mandata u entitetskim i dr\u017eavnom parlamentu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">U Federaciji BiH SDA je u\u010dvrstila poziciju najja\u010de stranke, HDZ je dobio svog \u010dlana Predsjedni\u0161tva u liku Darijane Filipovi\u0107, dok je u Republici Srpskoj SNSD ostvario pobjedu na svim nivoima.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\" id=\"h-izbacivanje-snsd-a-gotovo-nemoguce\"><strong>Izbacivanje SNSD-a gotovo nemogu\u0107e<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ono \u0161to ove izbore \u010dini presudnim za dalji rasplet nije samo broj glasova, ve\u0107 aritmetika u Domu naroda. Iz Republike Srpske se bira pet delegata, a kontrolni paket podrazumijeva \u010detiri mandata. SNSD s koalicijskim partnerima ima dovoljno zastupnika da osigura \u010detiri delegata u srpskom klubu, \u0161to ga \u010dini nezaobilaznim faktorom u formiranju vlasti na dr\u017eavnom nivou.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Me\u0111utim, tu bi mogao nastati problem ukoliko se bude pratio obrazac posljednje dvije godine, kada je prekinuta svaka suradnja stranaka Trojke sa SNSD-om. SDA i SDP su najja\u010de stranke, od kojih se o\u010dekuje koalicija sa SNSD-om i HDZ-om.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-Izbacivanje SNSD-a iz vlasti je projekt koji zahtjeva \u0161iru platformu, rekao je Elmedin Konakovi\u0107, predsjednik Naroda i pravde, stranke koja je do\u017eivjela prili\u010dan pad na izborima, ali je kako ka\u017ee Konakovi\u0107, spremna da podr\u017ei SDA i SDP u izbacivanju SNSD-a iz jednad\u017ebe za formiranje vlasti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S druge strane, prvi \u010dovjek SDA Bakir Izetbegovi\u0107, ne odbacuje mogu\u0107nost formiranja vlasti sa SNSD i HDZ.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-Ne\u0107emo, naravno, praviti vlast sa onima s kojima ne mo\u017eemo donositi zakone, funkcionalno uspostaviti Vije\u0107e ministara ili Federalnu vladu. Radit \u0107emo s onima koji imaju dovoljno ruku i u Zastupni\u010dkom i u Domu naroda, rekao je Izetbegovi\u0107.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\" id=\"h-nije-problem-forma-vec-sustina\"><strong>Nije problem forma, ve\u0107 su\u0161tina<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Raspodjela mandata ne\u0107e biti problem, ve\u0107 formiranje koalicija i izvr\u0161ne vlasti, odnosno Vije\u0107a ministara BiH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-Bez SNSD-a nema vlasti na dr\u017eavnom nivou idu\u0107e \u010detiri godine. Imaju \u010detiri delegata u Domu naroda \u0161to zna\u010di, ako se nekom matematikom i uspije stvoriti ve\u0107ina bez njih, da \u0107e svaki akt biti blokiran u Domu naroda. A to opet zna\u010di \u010detiri godine zastoja i agonije, ka\u017ee novinar Goran Daki\u0107, isti\u010du\u0107i da probosanske stranke ne mogu sebi dozvoliti jo\u0161 jedan sunovrat u politi\u010dkoj borbi s Dodikom, \u010demu smo svjedo\u010dili zadnje dvije godine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\" id=\"h-izmjene-izbornog-zakona\"><strong>Izmjene Izbornog zakona<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">U ovoj matematici bit \u0107e potrebno namiriti i HDZ, jer iako su dobili \u201elegitimnog predstavnika hrvatskog naroda\u201c u Predsjedni\u0161tvo BiH, sigurno na tome ne\u0107e stati.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-Prva stepenica je izmjena Izbornog zakona koju tra\u017ee Hrvati, a \u0161to su u vi\u0161e navrata odbile sve probosanske stranke. Posebno SDA koja se 2022. godine povukla iz pregovora \u010diji su medijatori bili Amerikanci i predstavnici EU, ka\u017ee Daki\u0107.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">HDZ insistira na tome da hrvatski narod mora birati svog \u201elegitimnog predstavnika\u201d izme\u0111u vi\u0161e kandidata, a ne da taj izbor bude uvjetovan glasovima bo\u0161nja\u010dkih bira\u010da. Ovaj zahtjev vjerojatno \u0107e biti jedan od glavnih pregovara\u010dkih aduta HDZ-a u razgovorima sa SDA i SNSD-om.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ako se ne postigne dogovor o izmjenama Izbornog zakona, HDZ mo\u017ee zaprijetiti blokadom, \u0161to bi dodatno kompliciralo formiranje vlasti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\" id=\"h-ne-suradnja-koja-traje\"><strong>(Ne)suradnja koja traje<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Da bi se formirala vlast bez SNSD-a, potrebno bi bilo napraviti dogovor u kojem bi istovremeno sudjelovali SDA, SDP, HDZ i najmanje dvije srpske oporbene stranke, \u0161to je matemati\u010dki i politi\u010dki gotovo neizvodivo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Zbog toga ova \u201elo\u0161a suradnja\u201c vi\u0161e zvu\u010di kao pregovara\u010dka taktika nego kao \u010dvrsta politi\u010dka odluka. SDA, iako je u prethodnom mandatu bila u oporbi na dr\u017eavnom nivou, sada se vra\u0107a u igru kao najja\u010da stranka u Federaciji BiH. Pritisak formiranja funkcionalne vlasti, uz \u010dinjenicu da je SNSD nezaobilazan, vjerojatno \u0107e natjerati sve aktere na kompromis koji \u0107e rezultirati starom formulom, SNSD\u2013SDA\u2013HDZ.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ono \u0161to ove izbore \u010dini posebno zna\u010dajnim jesu Dodikove najave o povratku \u201eizvornom Dejtonu\u201d. Ova retorika, koja podrazumijeva ja\u010danje entitetskih ovlasti i slabljenje dr\u017eavnih institucija, otvara mogu\u0107nost \u010detverogodi\u0161nje blokade na nivou BiH. Ako Dodik odlu\u010di iskoristiti poziciju SNSD-a u Domu naroda za blokadu zakona koji ja\u010daju dr\u017eavne nadle\u017enosti, BiH mo\u017ee u\u0107i u novi ciklus politi\u010dke paralize.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\" id=\"h-dodikov-moguci-povratak\"><strong>Dodikov mogu\u0107i povratak<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jedno od najzanimljivijih pitanja nakon izbora jeste mogu\u0107nost pomilovanja Milorada Dodika. Dodik je pravosna\u017eno osu\u0111en na godinu dana zatvora zbog neizvr\u0161avanja odluka visokog predstavnika, uz \u0161estogodi\u0161nju zabranu politi\u010dkog djelovanja. Ulaskom \u017deljke Cvijanovi\u0107 (SNSD) i Darijane Filipovi\u0107 (HDZ) u Predsjedni\u0161tvo BiH, otvara se pitanje da li bi se moglo pokrenuti pitanje pomilovanja, za \u0161ta Predsjedni\u0161tvo ima nadle\u017enost.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Me\u0111utim, pravnici smatraju da se odluke o pomilovanju na dr\u017eavnom nivou mogu donijeti isklju\u010divo konsenzusom sva tri \u010dlana Predsjedni\u0161tva BiH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-Ukoliko bi do\u0161lo do pomilovanja, odnosno takve inicijative, takva odluka mora biti jednoglasna u Predsjedni\u0161tvu. Mislim da ovdje ne\u0107e biti te suglasnosti za pomilovanje Milorada Dodika, ka\u017ee biv\u0161i \u010dlan SIP-a, pravnik, Vehid \u0160ehi\u0107.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\" id=\"h-potop-sds-a-i-kraj-jedne-ere\"><strong>Potop SDS-a i kraj jedne ere<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dok SNSD slavi, Srpska demokratske stranka (SDS) do\u017eivljava izborni potop. Rezultati pokazuju drasti\u010dan pad podr\u0161ke ovoj stranci, koja je nekad bila glavna oporbena snaga u Republici Srpskoj. Pad SDS-a nije samo rezultat ja\u010danja SNSD-a, ve\u0107 i \u0161ireg fenomena gubitka povjerenja gra\u0111ana u tradicionalne opozicione stranke, koje nisu uspjele ponuditi alternativu Dodikovoj politici.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ovaj izborni rezultat mo\u017ee ozna\u010diti kraj jedne politi\u010dke ere u Republici Srpskoj. SDS, koji je desetlje\u0107ima bio sinonim za srpsku oporbu, sada se suo\u010dava s egzistencijalnim pitanjem, koje je ugro\u017eeno jo\u0161 od 2006. godine i smjene Dragana \u010cavi\u0107a s mjesta prvog \u010dovjeka stranke.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-Od tada do danas imaju stalni pada i nikada se nisu uspjeli vratiti. Koliko je SNSD na vlasti, toliko je SDS u padu i to je paradoks borbe oporbe u Republici Srpskoj, ka\u017ee Daki\u0107.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Izlaznost od 42 posto pokazuje da je zna\u010dajan dio gra\u0111ana ostao kao promatra\u010d, ali oni koji su iza\u0161li na birali\u0161ta jasno su pokazali \u0161to \u017eele. Povratak na formulu SNSD\u2013SDA\u2013HDZ, uz Dodikove najave o \u201eizvornom Dejtonu\u201d i mogu\u0107nost pomilovanja, sugerira da \u0107e se politi\u010dka scena BiH u idu\u0107e \u010detiri godine vrtjeti u poznatom krugu blokada, pregovora i kompromisa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dw.com\/bs\/bosna-i-hercegovina-nakon-izbora\/a-79559249\">Dw<sup>.com<\/sup><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nedjeljni izbori vratili su BiH u stari politi\u010dki trokut. Tvorni\u010dka pode\u0161avanja u vrhu vlasti ponovno stavljaju SNSD, SDA i HDZ BiH, ali je pitanje na koji na\u010din \u0107e se prevazi\u0107i razlike, analizira Deutsche Welle. Rezultati Op\u0107ih izbora vratili su Bosnu i Hercegovinu u ve\u0107 vi\u0111eni politi\u010dki obrazac. SNSD, SDA i HDZ ponovno su najja\u010di akteri [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":52376,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53642","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-vijesti"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.5 (Yoast SEO v28.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>POVRATAK U PRO\u0160LOST: BiH se nakon izbora vra\u0107a starom politi\u010dkom trokutu SNSD \u2013 SDA \u2013 HDZ! - OTPOR.Media<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/otpor.media\/?p=53642\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"hr_HR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"POVRATAK U PRO\u0160LOST: BiH se nakon izbora vra\u0107a starom politi\u010dkom trokutu SNSD \u2013 SDA \u2013 HDZ!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Nedjeljni izbori vratili su BiH u stari politi\u010dki trokut. Tvorni\u010dka pode\u0161avanja u vrhu vlasti ponovno stavljaju SNSD, SDA i HDZ BiH, ali je pitanje na koji na\u010din \u0107e se prevazi\u0107i razlike, analizira Deutsche Welle. Rezultati Op\u0107ih izbora vratili su Bosnu i Hercegovinu u ve\u0107 vi\u0111eni politi\u010dki obrazac. SNSD, SDA i HDZ ponovno su najja\u010di akteri [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/otpor.media\/?p=53642\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"OTPOR.Media\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/otpor.media\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-10-06T10:30:16+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-10-06T10:30:26+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/otpor.media\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/politicari-bih1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"900\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"505\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"otpormedia\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Napisao\/la\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"otpormedia\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Procijenjeno vrijeme \u010ditanja\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minuta\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/otpor.media\\\/?p=53642#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/otpor.media\\\/?p=53642\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"otpormedia\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/otpor.media\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/a274232a44e6bceb3b5681f0fe2474ab\"},\"headline\":\"POVRATAK U PRO\u0160LOST: BiH se nakon izbora vra\u0107a starom politi\u010dkom trokutu SNSD \u2013 SDA \u2013 HDZ!\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-10-06T10:30:16+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-10-06T10:30:26+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/otpor.media\\\/?p=53642\"},\"wordCount\":1133,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/otpor.media\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/otpor.media\\\/?p=53642#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/otpor.media\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/08\\\/politicari-bih1.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"VIJESTI\"],\"inLanguage\":\"hr\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/otpor.media\\\/?p=53642#respond\"]}],\"copyrightYear\":\"2026\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/otpor.media\\\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/otpor.media\\\/?p=53642\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/otpor.media\\\/?p=53642\",\"name\":\"POVRATAK U PRO\u0160LOST: BiH se nakon izbora vra\u0107a starom politi\u010dkom trokutu SNSD \u2013 SDA \u2013 HDZ! 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Tvorni\u010dka pode\u0161avanja u vrhu vlasti ponovno stavljaju SNSD, SDA i HDZ BiH, ali je pitanje na koji na\u010din \u0107e se prevazi\u0107i razlike, analizira Deutsche Welle. Rezultati Op\u0107ih izbora vratili su Bosnu i Hercegovinu u ve\u0107 vi\u0111eni politi\u010dki obrazac. 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