{"id":53840,"date":"2026-10-12T17:49:17","date_gmt":"2026-10-12T15:49:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/otpor.media\/?p=53840"},"modified":"2026-10-12T17:49:27","modified_gmt":"2026-10-12T15:49:27","slug":"izbori-su-gotovi-podjela-plijena-pocinje-kako-se-buducnost-bih-prodaje-za-ministarske-fotelje","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/otpor.media\/?p=53840","title":{"rendered":"Izbori su gotovi, podjela plijena po\u010dinje: Kako se budu\u0107nost BiH prodaje za ministarske fotelje"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Dok se bli\u017ei kona\u010dno potvr\u0111ivanje rezultata izbora u Bosni i Hercegovini, politi\u010dke elite ve\u0107 su pre\u0161le na ono \u0161to najbolje znaju: matemati\u010dke kri\u017ealjke i neformalne pregovore iza zatvorenih vrata. Izborni ciklus je zavr\u0161en, gra\u0111ani su dali svoj glas, ali prava politi\u010dka predstava tek po\u010dinje.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pred zemljom je sada proces formiranja vlasti, faza koju analiti\u010dari \u010desto opisuju kao “podjelu plijena”. Pozicije u ministarstvima, upravnim odborima i javnim poduze\u0107ima postaju valuta kojom \u0107e se kupovati lojalnost i sklapati neprirodne koalicije. Ipak, dok se lideri stranaka bave raspodjelom fotelja, stvarni problemi dr\u017eave ostaju netaknuti, \u010dekaju\u0107i na dnu prioriteta novih-starih vladara.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Matematika mo\u0107i nasuprot realnosti na terenu<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Ulazak u vlast u BiH rijetko se temelji na ideolo\u0161kim sli\u010dnostima ili zajedni\u010dkim programima razvoja. Umjesto toga, klju\u010dna rije\u010d je matematika. Koalicijski kapacitet mjeri se isklju\u010divo brojem ruku u parlamentima potrebnih za preuzimanje kontrole nad prora\u010dunima. Ovaj se proces odvija u sjeni te\u0161ke socio-ekonomske krize. Dok politi\u010dki pregovara\u010di raspravljaju o tome kome \u0107e pripasti resori financija, komunikacija ili energetike, tko \u0107e sjesti u koju fotelju, kome \u0107e se pogodovati u biznisu i sli\u010dno, gra\u0111ani se suo\u010davaju s neumoljivom svakodnevicom koja pokazuje pad \u017eivotnog standarda. Konstantna poskupljenja osnovnih \u017eivotnih namirnica i energenata odavno su obezvrijedila ionako niske pla\u0107e i mizerne mirovine i pitanje je \u0161to uop\u0107e ‘nove vlasti’ mogu u\u010diniti po tom pitanju, jer vrlo vjerojatno \u0107emo svjedo\u010diti istom, od ranije prepoznatljivom, obrascu pona\u0161anja u kojem je najva\u017enije osigurati kontrolu tokova financija i njihovo usmjeravanje u \u017eeljenom pravcu \u2013 sebi i svojima.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Javna infrastruktura je u katastrofalnom stanju, cestovni pravci kasne godinama, a javne institucije pate pod teretom prevelikog broja zaposlenih po strana\u010dkoj liniji, \u0161to je fenomen koji gu\u0161i u\u010dinkovitost i eliminira meritokraciju.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Obrazovni i zdravstveni sustavi gube korak s europskim standardima, \u0161to rezultira masovnim egzodusom kvalificirane radne snage i \u010ditavih obitelji prema Zapadnoj Europi. U takvom ambijentu, sustav funkcionira po principu neformalnih dozvola – za zaposlenje, administrativnu proceduru ili poslovni poduhvat \u010desto je i dalje presudna strana\u010dka veza ili izravno odobrenje strana\u010dkog lidera. Mislite li da \u0107e se sada to promijeniti samo zato \u0161to je primjerice HDZ BiH kona\u010dno dobio fotelju u Predsjedni\u0161tvu BiH?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Privid oporbe i sindrom “vje\u010ditih blokada”<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Jedan od klju\u010dnih razloga za izostanak su\u0161tinskih promjena le\u017ei u fragmentiranom politi\u010dkom krajoliku. Tradicionalne vladaju\u0107e strukture \u010desto su imale koristi od onoga \u0161to kriti\u010dari nazivaju “la\u017enom oporbom” \u2013 politi\u010dkih subjekata koji deklarativno tra\u017ee promjene, ali u klju\u010dnim trenutcima pristaju na iste kompromise kako bi osigurali dio institucionalnog kola\u010da.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S druge strane, put prema Europskoj uniji ostaje deklarativni cilj oko kojega postoji na\u010delni konsenzus, ali u praksi slu\u017ei tek kao paravan. Europa je institucionalno daleko, dok su unutarnje politi\u010dke blokade uvijek nadohvat ruke. Svaki poku\u0161aj reforme koja bi ugrozila kontrolu nad javnim resursima brzo se neutralizira aktivacijom mehanizama za\u0161tite etni\u010dkih ili entitetskih interesa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ho\u0107e li vlast promijeniti obrazac pona\u0161anja?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Kratak odgovor, zasnovan na dosada\u0161njem politi\u010dkom iskustvu u BiH, glasi – vjerojatno ne.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Politi\u010dke stranke nemaju unutarnji poticaj mijenjati obrazac pona\u0161anja koji im godinama osigurava opstanak na vlasti. Izborni legitimitet, bez obzira na nisku izlaznost ili apatiju bira\u010dkog tijela, liderima daje formalno pokri\u0107e za nastavak dosada\u0161njih praksi. Sustav je dizajniran tako da nagra\u0111uje lojalnost stranci, a ne u\u010dinkovitost u rje\u0161avanju problema gra\u0111ana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bosna i Hercegovina tako ulazi u jo\u0161 jedan postizborni period u kojem \u0107e fokus javnosti biti skrenut na politi\u010dku dramu oko imenovanja ministara, dok \u0107e strukturni problemi, od ekonomije do vladavine prava, ostati zamrznuti u vremenu. Narodu, koji je svojim glasovima (ili apstinencijom) zape\u010datio jo\u0161 jedan \u010detverogodi\u0161nji ciklus, ostaje promatrati kako se politi\u010dka arena ponovno transformira u tr\u017enicu na kojoj se trguje budu\u0107no\u0161\u0107u zemlje.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Demografski veto na politi\u010dke igre<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Dok doma\u0107i akteri igraju partiju politi\u010dkog \u0161aha u kojoj su figure dr\u017eavna ministarstva i javni fondovi, stvarni sudac ove utakmice mogao bi postati tihi, ali neumoljivi demografski slom. Najve\u0107a opasnost za trenutni modus operandi bosanskohercegova\u010dke elite nije ni retorika Bruxellesa, niti ekonomska uvjetovanja me\u0111unarodnih financijskih institucija. To je \u010dinjenica da sustav polako ostaje bez ljudi koji bi ga financirali.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dokumentirana praksa u kojoj se za svaki administrativni korak ili poslovnu priliku tra\u017ei “zeleno svjetlo” iz strana\u010dkih sredi\u0161njica stvorila je atmosferu kolektivnog bezna\u0111a. Gra\u0111ani, umorni od \u010dekanja na reforme koje se obe\u0107avaju svake \u010detiri godine, masovno koriste jedini preostali mehanizam kontrole \u2013 putovnicu. Ovaj masovni odlazak radno sposobnog stanovni\u0161tva donosi dvostruki udarac za zemlju.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sa svakim mladim stru\u010dnjakom ili obitelji koja napusti zemlju, mirovinski i zdravstveni fondovi, koji su ve\u0107 na staklenim nogama, gube stabilne izvore prihoda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zemlja s visokom stopom nezaposlenosti paradoksalno po\u010dinje patiti od kroni\u010dnog nedostatka kvalificiranih radnika u klju\u010dnim sektorima poput gra\u0111evinarstva, medicine i tehnologije.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Europska unija, iako formalno inzistira na reformama i uvjetima iz pristupnih pregovora, u praksi funkcionira kao magnet koji usisava ljudske resurse s periferije Balkana. Za Bruxelles, Bosna i Hercegovina u ovakvom stanju predstavlja kontroliranu krizu, prostor koji je politi\u010dki stabilan tek toliko da ne proizvodi sigurnosne probleme, ali nedovoljno funkcionalan da postane ravnopravan \u010dlan europske obitelji.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kona\u010dna bilanca ovih izbora stoga nije sadr\u017ean u postocima osvojenih glasova niti u imenima budu\u0107ih ministara. Pravo pitanje koje visi nad Sarajevom, Banjom Lukom i Mostarom jest koliko \u0107e jo\u0161 postizbornih “podjela plijena” privreda i dru\u0161tvo mo\u0107i pre\u017eivjeti prije nego \u0161to sustav, uslijed nedostatka ljudskog i ekonomskog supstrata, kolabira sam od sebe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vladaju\u0107i obrazac pona\u0161anja se, sasvim sigurno, ne\u0107e promijeniti dobrovoljno. On \u0107e se mijenjati tek onda kada vi\u0161e ne bude resursa kojima bi se kupovao socijalni mir i strana\u010dka lojalnost.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dnevni.ba<\/sup><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dok se bli\u017ei kona\u010dno potvr\u0111ivanje rezultata izbora u Bosni i Hercegovini, politi\u010dke elite ve\u0107 su pre\u0161le na ono \u0161to najbolje znaju: matemati\u010dke kri\u017ealjke i neformalne pregovore iza zatvorenih vrata. Izborni ciklus je zavr\u0161en, gra\u0111ani su dali svoj glas, ali prava politi\u010dka predstava tek po\u010dinje. Pred zemljom je sada proces formiranja vlasti, faza koju analiti\u010dari \u010desto […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":53841,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53840","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-vijesti"],"yoast_head":"\nIzbori su gotovi, podjela plijena po\u010dinje: Kako se budu\u0107nost BiH prodaje za ministarske fotelje - OTPOR.Media<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/otpor.media\/?p=53840\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"hr_HR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Izbori su gotovi, podjela plijena po\u010dinje: Kako se budu\u0107nost BiH prodaje za ministarske fotelje\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Dok se bli\u017ei kona\u010dno potvr\u0111ivanje rezultata izbora u Bosni i Hercegovini, politi\u010dke elite ve\u0107 su pre\u0161le na ono \u0161to najbolje znaju: matemati\u010dke kri\u017ealjke i neformalne pregovore iza zatvorenih vrata. Izborni ciklus je zavr\u0161en, gra\u0111ani su dali svoj glas, ali prava politi\u010dka predstava tek po\u010dinje. 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